Reddit Mma Betting
This article is part of our The MMA Mashup series.
- Discuss all things MMA betting. Flair bets between users should be made in the weekly 'Flair Betting Thread' No separate betting related posts will be allowed 48 hours before or after this post, and at no time should you submit posts just referencing your individual wagers. Visit r/mmafantasy and r/mmapredictions for more discussion.
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Often, content found in this space will stay in one lane. It's either DFS or betting. DraftKings or FanDuel. If you're anything like me, though, your interests extend beyond one particular platform. You like to look in multiple areas to find the biggest edge. It's with this in mind that we debut a new article series: The MMA mashup. Every week I will look at plays from across multiple platforms to bring players successful strategies from where they play. The bulk of the content will include the most popular haunts, but we will also look at sites like Monkey Knife Fight, Prize Picks, and Super Draft. This week, we find the sweet spots on a 13-fight card beset with late replacements, including a (+200) underdog squaring off against a two-fight UFC veteran who looks to be gathering momentum. One final note before we begin: as with my 'Handicapping the Octagon' article series, all betting lines are taken from William Hill.
Mixed Martial Arts Betting Guide UFC 257 Odds: Andrew Sanchez vs. Makhmud Muradov Prediction Makhmud Muradov is on a 13-fight win streak, including six wins in 2019 alone, but it's been over.
Without further ado, let's get to it.
Reddit Nfl
Bets to Consider:
Joselyne Edwards: (+200)
The betting public hammered down a (+205) opening line on Joselyne Edwards prior to her UFC debut with Wu Yanan until she was actually a small favorite in some places. I feel something similar will happen before her sophomore effort against Karoline Rosa, whose two UFC wins include a debuting fighter and a woman who is currently 1-3 in the organization. That's not to say she doesn't have skills, but Rosa's style of leaving her chin up while in the pocket has resulted in the Brazilian fighter absorbing 7.00(!) significant strikes per minute, and neither of her previous opponents had the power of Edwards, who has finished half of her wins by KO/TKO. Edwards also has a knack for using her length to keep women on the end of her punches and will come into this fight with a three-inch reach advantage. Things may get interesting if Rosa decides to wrestle, but I trust Edwards' active guard to keep her safe, as it did in the Yanan fight.
Youssef Zalal by decision: (+150)
I like a lot of what Seungwoo Choi does inside the cage as a physically strong pressure fighter who throws in combinations. The problem for him here is that Youssef Zalal will be the faster, cleaner striker with better wrestling. What has me eyeing this play so closely is Zalal has yet to get a finish in his three UFC fights, and Choi has shown himself to be incredibly tough. While it's true he got submitted in his last fight by Gavin Tucker, I would argue that was the result of being caught in one bad position rather than something that should be a lingering concern. I always say that the magic of props is turning juice plays into plus money, and while the submission remains something of a concern, I've seen enough to question whether Zalal can be a finisher at this level.
Devonte Smith/Justin Jaynes under 1.5 Rounds: (-162)
There's no denying that both Devonte Smith and Justin Jaynes like to get their work done quickly. How quickly? 13 of their last 14 combined fights have finished inside the first round. The only fight that went over during that stretch, Jaynes' bout with Gavin Tucker, required Tucker to literally drop his shorts to survive after getting knocked down and stuck in a mounted guillotine. I expect these two to open up firing and leave us plenty of time to spare to call this one a winner.
Cody Stamann/Timur Valiev parlay: ( -172)
What to do with a pair of huge favorites facing inferior opponents who are taking fights on impossibly short notice? Parlay them, of course. Askar Askar seems like an unrelenting pressure fighter with power, but it's notable that he doesn't seem to know how to cut off the cage. Following a wrestler with Stamann's skill around in a circle is a good way to get put on the ground with reactive double-leg takedowns, and I expect him to be the stronger fighter here. Next, we have Martin Day taking on Timur Valiev. Valiev may have gotten caught and stopped by Trevin Jones in what is now a no-contest due to a failed drug test, but Valiev was putting on a show before that fateful strike, mixing his targets and throwing with power. Day can do a bit of everything inside the cage but is far too hittable on the counter and will be asked to keep up with the much more athletic fighter in Valiev.
DraftKings Plays to Consider:
Clay Guida ($7,400)
The nice thing about the tweaks to the DraftKings scoring system is that many of the categories work in concert with each other. A committed wrestler can hit their takedown (+5 points), establish top control (0.03 points/second), and land 'regular strikes' (+0.2 points) as well as significant strikes. This should work out well for Clay Guida, who has had a lot of quick fights of late but was at his smothering best against B.J. Penn in 2019 (I know, I know) when he notched a takedown, over four minutes of control time, and 113 total strikes. Unless you count Andre Fili (who didn't start going for takedowns until Round 2), you have to go back to Gleison Tibau in 2014 to find a Michael Johnson victory over a committed wrestler. Add in the fact that Johnson hasn't had a knockout win since 2016, and the path begins to look good for Guida, as I just don't see Johnson fading his wrestling for the better part of 15 minutes.
Alexandre Pantoja ($8,300)
Manel Kape looks like an active striker who has power and sets a furious pace. Still, It's hard to pick him in a matchup with Alexandre Pantoja after seeing the way he was absolutely big-bothered on the mat by Kyoji Horiguchi in 2017 before being submitted. Pantoja is relentless when it comes to hunting for grappling exchanges (particularly early in fights), and Kape can lose some of his steam when someone else is doing the pressuring. While I expect him to get this done inside the distance, Pantoja's price here is low enough that he can put up a nice score if forced to sit in dominant position.
Alistair Overeem ($7,600)
Alexander Volkov wants to stand on a napkin and have a kickboxing match in the center of the Octagon. One thing we have seen from late-career Alistair Overeem is movement and agility in the cage. He has also gone to his wrestling quite a bit more, as seen in fights with Jair Rozenstruik and Augusto Sakai. Volkov's takedown defense has improved, but anyone who has wanted to has still been able to take him to the mat. This should act as a nice escape hatch if Overeem gets in trouble on the feet with the Russian fighter.
Fanduel Plays to Consider:
Mike Rodriguez ($20)
When speaking of novel scoring categories, it might be fair to say that none have had a bigger impact than 'takedowns defended.' We saw this most recently with Austin Lingo, who broke the slate in a major way when he paired his 95 significant strikes, knockdown, and takedown with 18 (!) takedowns defended against Jacob Kilburn. Mike Rodriguez may be able to pull off a similar feat against Danilo Marques, who landed just five of 16 takedowns against Khadis Ibragimov in his UFC debut. Rodriguez is the odds-on favorite to get a knockout as the rangy, powerful kickboxer with experience, and he could put up a huge score if he thwarts a few attempts along the way.
Cory Sandhagen ($23)
The same is true for Cory Sandhagen, except he has five rounds to accumulate points against Frankie Edgar, who is a whopping 3-for-33 in landed takedowns over his last five fights. To be sure, Sandhagen's takedown defense (30 percent) leaves something to be desired, but even if Frankie lands a few, Sandhagen has been a wizard when it comes to popping back up to his feet, which will leave the former champion to contend with an incredibly crafty striker who has a five-inch height advantage.
Ode Osbourne ($TBD)
Ode Osbourne was taught a quick lesson in leaving your neck out in his UFC debut against Brian Kelleher and will have to worry about submissions yet again when he faces late replacement, Jerome Rivera. The important thing to note here is that Rivera, who missed on all five of his takedown attempts in his last fight against Francisco Figueiredo, stands straight up in the pocket and has already been knocked out once in the UFC. If he can't get his wrestling going, he will have a hard time dealing with Osbourne, who throws clean, straight punches and kicks.
Monkey Knife Fight Plays to Consider:
Molly McCann u/106.5 sig. strikes + Lara Procopio U 110.5 sig. strikes
Her UFC debut against Karoline Rosa may suggest otherwise, but tape of Lara Procopio on the Brazilian regional scene shows a much more grapple-centric approach than the one we saw in August of 2019. She should also feel more comfortable taking this approach against a boxer like McCann. This sort of game plan would affect McCann as well, as every second she is up against the cage defending a takedown is a second she is not striking at range. We saw this in her most recent fight with Taila Santos when 'Meatball' landed just 48 significant strikes, due in no small part to Santos' seven takedown attempts.
Beneil Dariush under 54.5 sig. strikes + Diego Ferreira under 75.5 sig. strikes
I reject the assumption that Beneil Dariush will go out and try to throw hands with Diego Ferreira. I think it much more likely that, as I mentioned above, the forcing of a grappling game will work to depress output from both fighters. In their first fight, we saw that both men are perfectly willing to work their respective jujitsu games, and while it's beyond fair to point out that that bout took place in 2014, we have also seen Ferreira employ grapple-heavy strategies in the recent past. Another thing to note about playing these unders is that we are more likely to win if the fight results in an early stoppage, and these two have combined to finish seven of their last nine bouts before the third round.
Table of Contents
When you hear about Reddit, enter the world of different huge real communities, giving their views on various news, content, and topics. Suppose we tell Reddit a goldmine of interesting information that will not be an exaggeration. Reddit has different communities in which people share information. Most probably, few platforms in this world give such huge topics and view other peoples.
One of the most trending communities is related to sports betting. Why do we like the sport betting Reddit community? Because it gives the real idea to exchange our views. They have no intention to sell something here. Real people, fundamental concepts, and actual outcomes are the best fit line for Reddit.
Anybody can sign up sport betting Reddit community; you need not be professional. It depends on you how you want to use it like - you can read only comments or read the news. If you are new to this platform, you should stick with it for a while, and you will be attached to it. When you open Reddit.com, then you will find a homepage that will hotch-potch with numerous topics.
Reddit has focused on different communities, which is called Sub-Reddits. Here you will find a sport betting community with Reddit Sports Betting. When people who are using Reddit place the relevant URL when mentioning other subreddits. For example – if someone related to sport betting Reddit, then he uses r/sportsbetting.
When you start discussing on Subreddit, you can submit other's links or writing something in your words. In both conditions, people have the proper right to handle the post. Right now, we are discussing sport betting communities that are organized as per categories and follow by the number of subscribers.
Topmost sports betting Reddits
These communities are wrap up with the sport betting mainstream. It is not concentrating on mainly one sports betting. It is the center of almost all sports like MMA, Basketball, Soccer, baseball, tennis, etc.
Sports Book
A well-structured and managed sport betting community. In sport betting Reddit, you will find a range of information and views that update you with different sports innings. You will find excellent resources and some links to various websites on the subreddit on the screen's right side. You will discover primary betting conditions, calculators, statistics, and numerous other tools.
Anyway, it depends on you, whatever you read and write, but one thing is confirming that you will get useful information on r/sportsbook. In a short time, you will get esports betting news with special effects.
Soccer Betting
Are you a soccer lover? Then get ready for the sports journey with Reddit. It is the best betting community where you can get all football information. This community trending best one community because it shares big scores to updated betting solutions. Continues to live to bet and connect with big matches will give you more transparency towards your goal.
Sports Book Review
Sports Book Review is not a big sport betting Reddit community but still, you get updated information very clearly. Anyone who has a Reddit account can leave reviews or check all reviews or different sports. It plays the role of getting together information on every betting website.
However, you could not get information comprehensively, and they do not give advantages to those who received repayment from the same books.
E-sports betting Subreddits
Reddit has two mSports betting Reddit – Covers all your questions with exciting answers in E-sport betting communities. One is related to Counter-strike, and the second one is related to Dota 2. Both subreddits have loaded with worthy information.
CSGO Betting
As a matter of interest, CSGO Betting is one of the most entertaining community on Reddit. Are you connected with Counter-strike and Esports? If yes, then this subreddit is all yours. Everyday upcoming match information with daily new directions for general CSGO betting are available on the discussion.
You will get sports betting Reddit comments of more than 150-200, while in select matches, you will get ten or more words on the spot. You will, most of the time, get general plans that connect you with discussing the most profitable betting sites suitable for CS: GO.
Dota 2 Betting
In all betting subreddits, Dota 2 Betting is not an engaged community, but still, it is useful to surfing on Dota2. In Dota2, you can get estimated up to two to three threads every day. In this subreddit, you can browse individual match news, predictions, and essential event news.
Valve skins betting scandal, which is related to Dota2, has lost its goodwill, and they have lost good subscribers and deals. As a result of this scandal, many skins betting websites lost their business. Still, Dota2 is useful for great ideas and discussion to get actual money betting. The subreddit page has retained some links that provide valuable statistical data and more information.
Horse Racing
Are you interest in horse betting? It is a comparably slow topic on the sports betting Reddit community. But you will find some horse racing betting useful and worth discussing.
Horse Racing
Normally horseracing community is active than other subreddit, and it has more than 4500 subscribers. If we visit that community, we will find a new topic, but the discussion does not exceed 6 or 10 comments. Some significant events can worth on the board for meetings, such as Preakness Stakes and Kentucky Derby discussion.
Comparably all countries, the USA is the most discussing country for horse racing betting on subreddit. Horse racing has many wide ranges of issues covering the latest race reviews and quizzes that give a full chance to win tickets.
Horse Racing UK
Football Betting Reddit
Horse Racing UK is related to horse racing betting for the US this Horse Racing UK is about horse racing betting UK. This subreddit is less busy because it is only focusing on UK horse race betting. Besides, it provides news articles and daily tricks.
Ncaab Betting Reddit
Wrapping it up
Reddit Mma Betting
Any sport you like, you should concentrate on particular sports for betting. Sport betting Reddit communities can provide you with updated information and tips to play for significant revenue. More questions you put give you a more strategic mind. So, get ready to bet on sport.